Create prediction

Create prediction

Public prediction

Your prediction

Is your prediction TRUE or FALSE?

The most you can win on this prediction — and what you put in, since a win pays what was put in. Shakers each take a slice of it, at any amount they choose; only what's taken plays, and the rest is refunded.

Partial matches allowed; the rest is refunded.

The cutoff for others to Shake on this prediction. Once it passes, no one new can join. time

The set time this prediction is judged — the moment its outcome is decided. From here, both sides get 24 hours to declare TRUE or FALSE. time

Pick up to 3 categories your prediction fits — all count equally. It's how people browse and filter Find predictions, so your Shake shows up under (and ranks on the leaderboard of) each one you choose. Add the ones it's genuinely about (not every loosely-related topic); for finer keywords, use Tags below. Optional.

Add your own tags — the words people browse and search by in Find predictions (a team, topic, ticker, person, event). You know your prediction best, so your own tags are often the most specific and on-point, surfacing it to exactly the people looking for that subject. Comma-separated; add as many as fit. Leave it empty and an AI adds tags once your prediction is published.Let AI suggest tags from your prediction — a fast way to get relevant, well-formed ones you might not think of. It adds to (never replaces) the tags you've typed, so generate first, then fine-tune your own.

The link or evidence a Public Shake is settled by — a scoreboard, article, or official result anyone can check.

488

free of the 500 you start with

→

12

10 coins pot + 2 coins dispute deposit reserve (10% of your entry, min 2 coins). Others take slices of the pot (min 10 each) and you match only what's actually taken; your matching deposits come out of the reserve as they join. Whatever no one takes — pot and unused reserve alike — is refunded.